A new opinion poll conducted on October 6, 2025, reveals that if elections were held today, James Gakuya would emerge as the next Governor of Nairobi.

The survey, which sampled 2,000 registered voters across all 17 constituencies of the capital, places Gakuya firmly ahead of his competitors — signaling a surge in his political momentum and grassroots appeal.

Gakuya Leads with Strong Grassroots Support

According to the poll, Gakuya leads with 44% support, buoyed by his active engagement with residents and consistent presence on local media platforms. Respondents cited his accessibility, focus on the welfare of small business owners, and his reputation as a “leader of the people” as key reasons behind his growing popularity.

Researchers noted that Gakuya’s strong showing cuts across both low-income and middle-class neighborhoods, with particularly high approval ratings in Eastlands, Embakasi, and Kasarani — areas where he has long been recognized for his development initiatives.

Issues Driving Voter Sentiment

The survey indicates that service delivery, job creation, and urban safety remain the top issues shaping voter preferences. Gakuya’s campaign has centered on improving infrastructure, enhancing city cleanliness, and promoting small enterprises — themes that resonate deeply with Nairobi’s working population.

Analysts say his populist approach and consistent communication with voters have differentiated him from his rivals, many of whom have been criticized for elitism or policy inconsistency.

Rival Candidates Trail Behind

Trailing Gakuya in the poll are several prominent figures, including incumbent political heavyweights and former county officials, none of whom surpassed 25% support individually. A significant portion of respondents — around 18% — said they were still undecided, signaling room for shifts as campaigns intensify ahead of the next election cycle.

Political observers believe that if Gakuya maintains his current pace and continues strengthening his networks across informal settlements and business circles, he could become a formidable contender in the 2027 general election.

A Rising Force in Nairobi Politics

James Gakuya, currently serving as the Member of Parliament for Embakasi North, has built his brand on accessibility and community-centered leadership. His emphasis on empowerment programs and youth inclusion has struck a chord with many Nairobi residents seeking practical governance over political grandstanding.

As the city grapples with challenges ranging from urban congestion to unemployment, Gakuya’s message of “service, structure, and accountability” appears to be resonating.

The poll underscores a shifting tide in Nairobi’s political landscape — one that favors leaders with visible impact and consistent connection to the people.